Thursday, October 27, 2011

Ratification sought for next LHWP phase, separate $15bn power scheme unveiled

 Ratification sought for next Lesotho Highlands phase, separate $15bn power scheme is unveiled
 

27th October 2011
Updated 7 hours ago
 
 

The Lesotho Highlands Water Project (LHWP) Phase 2 agreement, which would open the way for additional water and power to flow to South Africa from the mountain kingdom, would be submitted to Parliament for ratification following its approval this week by South Africa's Cabinet.

The agreement would seek to augment the original treaty, signed by the two countries in 1986, while addressing issues related to the operation and implementation of phase 2.

The water aspect of the project was likely to cost around R7.8-billion, including R2.4-billion for development of the Polihali Dam.

Capital expenditure would also be directed towards the building of tunnels worth R2-billion, new infrastructure worth R1.3-billion, engineering works worth R1.1-billion, administration costs of R335.6-million, environment expenses of R365.5-million and social costs of R363.3-million.

The government of Lesotho was also reportedly preparing to pursue a R7.6-billion hydropower project directly linked to the Phase 2 developments.

It is understood that LHWP Phase 2 could begin delivering water by 2020 for the augmentation of the Vaal System and that between 3 500 and 4 000 jobs could be generated during construction. Most of those employed would be Lesotho citizens, but it was possible that 15% of the jobs would go the way of South Africans.

The agreement that would be placed before South Africa's lawmakers would seek to allow for the development of Phase 2, which would augment the delivery of water in South Africa and also include a hydropower-generation dimension.

WIND & WATER

However, it also emerged this week that Lesotho was also aiming to pursue a larger and entirely separate scheme, known as the Lesotho Highlands Power Project (LHPP).

This initiative could involve investments of $15-billion (around R110-billion) to develop 6 000 MW of wind capacity and 4 000 MW of pumped-storage hydropower.

South African diversified industrial group Harrison & White Investments reported this week that it had joined forces with the Lesotho government to develop the LHPP wind and hydropower projects in a joint venture called Breeze Power.

Breeze Power indicated in a statement that the project would be funded through a combination of debt and equity, with the major debt partners including Chinese financial institutions.

It also said the development would be delivered in phases over the next 10 to 15 years, with the first phase consisting of a 150 MW wind farm, work on which would commence in early 2012 with commissioning a year later.

The electricity would be sold to South Africa, with Lesotho already connected to the Eskom power grid.

Breeze Power had also signed an agreement with Chinese technology partner Ming Yang Wind Power, whereby wind turbine components would be made in factories in South Africa and Lesotho. Construction of these facilities could commence early in 2012, Breeze Power said.

Edited by: Creamer Media Reporter   

Sustainable Hydropower: A New Flow of Ideas

http://www.greatenergychallengeblog.com/blog/2011/10/25/sustainable-hydropower-technology/

Sustainable Hydropower: A New Flow of Ideas
Posted by Daniel Kammen of World Bank October 25, 2011


What can be done to diversify our clean energy technology options? In
recent years we have seen a number of seemingly �old� technologies
undergo a reassessment, and a reinvention. Geothermal power, once
assessed as �an excellent source of baseload energy, but likely
limited in commercially exploitable capacity� has undergone a
renaissance.

Here�s the new view in the latest IPCC Special Report on Renewable
Energy Sources:

In 2008, global geothermal energy use represented only about 0.1
percent of the global primary energy supply. However, by 2050,
geothermal could meet roughly 3 percent of the global electricity
demand and 5 percent of the global demand for heating and cooling.

That dramatic expansion of scope � a factor of 15 on a global scale �
is a function of new technology options and forecasts for higher
fossil fuel prices. But it is only one example.

Another technology undergoing a dramatic expansion of options is that
of hydropower. Conventional dams, large and small, use either a
natural, or more commonly, an artificial �head� or drop to harness
energy.

Thus, the energy available is increased with higher dam, and thus a
larger flooded reservoir for conventional dams. Therein lies the
problem of big dams that inundate ecosystems, displacing people and
wildlife, and in some cases � ironically � generating large amounts of
greenhouse gas emissions from the decomposition of flooded, submerged,
biomass.

(Related: �Two Rivers: The Chance to Export Power Divides Southeast
Asia� and map: �Exploiting a Land of Plenty�)

Some dams have even caused earthquakes.

Enter so called �hydrokinetic� energy technologies. Conventional dams
alter the river, creating artificial lakes. In hydrokinetic power
plants, the energy does not come from falling water, but by extracting
the kinetic (movement) energy from the water.

This is very exciting because new turbines, nozzles and indeed
innovations in everything from jet engines to ocean craft to the
design of pipes can come into play to extract energy from flowing
water. Hydrokinetic systems are applicable in both river and ocean
currents, and can reduce the need for reservoirs and disruption of
waterways dramatically, because no- or minimal- storage of water is
needed. The array of hydrokinetic options is dizzying, and is a
wonderful and promising field of innovation. A recent survey
published in Applied Energy noted no fewer than ten promising options:

Turbine Systems:

- Axial (Horizontal): Rotational axis of rotor is parallel to the
incoming water stream (employing lift or drag type blades)

- Vertical: Rotational axis of rotor is vertical to the water surface
and also orthogonal to the incoming water stream (employing lift or
drag type blades)

- Cross-flow: Rotational axis of rotor is parallel to the water
surface but orthogonal to the incoming water stream (employing lift or
drag type blades)

- Venturi: Accelerated water resulting from a choke system (that
creates pressure gradient) is used to run an in-built or on-shore
turbine

- Gravitational vortex: Artificially induced vortex (via funnels)
effect is used in driving a vertical turbine

Non-turbine Systems:

- Flutter Vane: Systems that are based on the principle of power
generation from hydroelastic resonance (�flutter�) in free-flowing water

- Piezoelectric: Piezo-property (charge accumulation or current
generation in response to mechanical force in some specific materials)
of polymers is utilized for electricity generation when a sheet of
such material is placed in the water stream

- Vortex induced vibration: Employs vibrations resulting from vortices
forming and shedding on the downstream side of a bluff body in a current

- Oscillating hydrofoil: Vertical oscillation of hydrofoils can be
utilized in generating pressurized fluids and subsequent turbine
operation.

- Sails: Employs drag motion of linearly/circularly moving sheets of
foils placed in a water stream

There is a still a great deal to do in terms of technological
reliability, cost, and how to scale these to be megawatt, or tens of
megawatts, or more. Large conventional dams can be anything up to
many giga-watts in scale. In an earlier blog (�Building a New Nation
and New Energy in South Sudan�) I described the Fula Rapids on the
White Nile, a location as powerful as it is beautiful, where energy
production and river conservation may be a great candidate for this
technology.

It is nice to see evolving technology, particularly one thought of by
many as mature and unchanging, up for a wave of innovation.

(Related: �New Dam a Go and a Blow to Megafishes?� and �Will Dam
Removal in the West Restore Salmon?�)

Daniel Kammen is the World Bank�s chief technical specialist for
renewable energy and energy efficiency. He is an adviser to National
Geographic�s Great Energy Challenge initiative.
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China Water Risk website goes live

China Water Risk Goes Live!
China Water Risk is a non-profit initiative dedicated to addressing
business and environmental risk.

Topical water issues are highlighted through our Analysis & Reviews,
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&Beverage, Power, Metals & Mining, Textiles, and Electronics.

Stay ahead of the risk curve visit us on: www.chinawaterrisk.org

Water in China: Why Worry?

* 11 regions in China are water scarce with water resources
comparable to the Middle East.
* The economy runs on water - 85% of water use in China by
agriculture and industry; experts project that demand for water may not
be met by 2030.
* The Dry 11 regions' total Gross Regional Product contribution to
China's GDP = 45%.
* Pollution exacerbates scarcity. Already 77% of key lakes and
reservoirs monitored are unfit for human touch.
* Food and energy security issues - The Dry 11 account for 40% of
agricultural output value and 95.6% of power in China requires water to
generate.
* Water is undervalued given scarcity; water tariffs hikes could
erode profit margins.

Contact Us:
If you have questions, please send us an e-mail at info@chinawaterrisk.org.

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Wednesday, October 26, 2011

Two articles on emerging technologies in China

[Two articles on emerging technologies in China, one on tidal power, and
a longer piece on an investment by China Southern Power Grid in smart
grid technologies - from the US perspective.]

China's tidal power development speeds up
(China Economic Net)
October 25, 2011

Edited and Translated by Zhao Guobing, People's Daily Online
http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/90778/7626191.html

"Tidal power generation has the same working theory as hydropower. You
have to build dams aside lochs or river mouths where the tide emerges
and place hydroelectric generating sets in the dams so that they can
generate power due to the difference of tides level. From the angle of
energy, hydroelectric generating sets translate tide static energy and
kinetic energy into electric energy," said Yu Rongkai, official director
of the Rushan Blue Economic Zone.

China has abundant resources of tidal power. It has more than 18,000
kilometers of mainland coastline and more than 14,000 kilometers of
coastline possessed by more than 5,000 islands. According to an
incomplete statistics, China has a tidal power reserve of 190 million
kilowatts, 38.5 million kilowatts of which is available for development,
giving an annual output of 87 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity.
Citing the China Ocean Energy Resources Division, 424 tidal power
stations can be built along the coastline, mainly in maritime provinces
like Zhejiang and Fujian.

China began to build tidal power stations in the middle of 20th century.
Rushan, which is in Shandong province, possesses Asia's first tidal
power station — Jingang Tidal Power Station — which was built several
decades ago. Baishakou Tidal Power Station, which was built in 1987, is
the second largest tidal power station in China.

Yu Rongkai's added that tidal power is more reliable than wind power and
solar power because it has the following advantages: stability, requires
no farmland, environmental-friendly, its cost is seven-eighths less
compared to thermal power generation. Thanks to years of pilot study,
China has mastered a moderately mature technology and is now the third
largest tidal power generation country following France and Canada.
(Editor:姚春)


*******

China Pours Money Into Smart Grid Technology
October 25, 2011
By Melanie Hart, Center for American Progress

[For the full article, see:
http://www.earthtechling.com/2011/10/china-pours-money-into-smart-grid-technology/]

There is no way to get around this fact—China aims to modernize its
energy infrastructure at home and dominate clean energy technology
markets abroad. At the 2011 Smart Grid World Forum in Beijing late last
month, China's State Grid Corporation announced plans to invest $250
billion in electric power infrastructure upgrades over the next five
years, of which $45 billion is earmarked for smart grid technologies.
According to its three-stage plan, China will invest another $240
billion between 2016 and 2020 (including another $45 billion toward
smart grid technologies) to complete the build-out of a "stronger,
smarter" Chinese power grid.

When complete, this system will improve energy efficiency, lower carbon
emissions, and give Chinese consumers more control over their utility
bills. Chinese leaders are betting that upgrading to a smarter
electricity grid will also drive technology innovation and move the
country up the manufacturing value chain. The Chinese view smart grid
technology as the next industrial revolution—and they want to make sure
that once other countries start upgrading their own grids, they will buy
most of their equipment from China.
clean-energy power grid, Western states

This issue brief details why the United States should take note of
China's ambitions and step up our own smart grid efforts. We, too, need
a stronger, smarter electricity grid, and in many smart grid sectors,
our enterprises are already producing the best technologies. All they
need is a bit more policy support at home to speed up interoperability,
to drive down equipment prices, and to ensure the smart grid revolution
will be a market driver not only for China but also for the United
States both at home and in export markets abroad.

What is a smart grid and why does China need one?

The main difference between a smart grid and a conventional grid is that
smart grid components (similar to smartphones) are upgraded to include
sensors, computers, and a wireless interface. That means the bits and
pieces of the electric grid—the transmission wires, transformers,
distribution wires, and usage meters—transmit and distribute electricity
more efficiently and reliably to end users, and they can also report
back on how that process is going and adjust operations along the line
to fit changing conditions.

This smart functionality is critical for integrating key elements of a
clean energy future, such as renewable power generation and electric
vehicles. Unlike traditional coal-fired power, renewable power can be
decentralized (multiple wind farms instead of one massive coal-fired
power plant) and is often weather dependent. Conventional grid systems
are designed to transfer a steady and predictable flow of power from
point A to point B. When a thunderstorm reduces solar panel output or
increases wind turbine output, those power fluctuations can trigger
blackouts and burnouts in a conventional grid system. But a smarter grid
can adjust, either by storing excess energy in batteries until it is
needed or by moving power more efficiently across longer distances.

Smarter grids are also better at handling higher and more variable
demand loads, and that will be critical when more electric vehicles are
added to the system. Current consumer demand is very predictable, so
utility companies know exactly what times of the day to purchase and
distribute extra power to counteract daily peaks. Electric vehicles
likely will not follow traditional consumption patterns—meaning demand
peaks will be harder to anticipate—and that will create new operational
challenges that will be hard to address without a more automated system.

The Chinese need more clean energy to meet their escalating electricity
demand, and that will require a smarter grid. China is now the world's
largest electricity consumer, and Chinese demand is expected to double
over the next decade, and triple by 2035. Their current energy mix is
heavily dependent on coal—around 70 percent of overall consumption in
2010—and coal supply and price fluctuations are threatening economic
growth. In 2011, for example, coal shortages forced China's national
economic planner, the National Development and Reform Commission, to
begin rationing electricity in April, months ahead of the normal summer
peak.

To comply with the rationing, officials in China's power-hungry
industrial regions cut off power to small enterprises from 5:30 a.m. to
7:00 p.m. daily and to medium-sized enterprises every few days. This
forced many small- and medium-sized companies to operate only at night
or to rely on pricey gas-fired power generators to keep their businesses
running.

The only way Chinese leaders can keep their economy growing at current
rates is to bring in more renewable energy power onto their national
grids. Their latest targets call for the country to increase renewable
energy to 9.5 percent of overall consumption by 2015, and a smarter
electricity grid will be critical for integrating those supplies into
the system.

The Chinese are also grappling with a major geographic issue. Energy
supplies are concentrated in the west (including coal, natural gas,
hydropower, and large wind farms), but demand is concentrated in the
east, which creates major transportation challenges. China's
west-to-east grid infrastructure is already overloaded, so coal supplies
are often shipped via rail and road. Problem is, transport bottlenecks
are so bad that in 2010 coal trucks triggered a month-long traffic jam
on the Beijing-Zhangjiakou highway.

To relieve congestion, the Chinese want to shift more west-to-east
transport to the grid, so a large chunk of China's upcoming grid
investments (around $78 billion out of the $250 billion mentioned above)
will go toward cross-country ultra-high-voltage transmission lines.

Killing two birds with one stone

As is the case throughout the green energy sector, Chinese leaders are
betting that if they can roll out a smarter electricity grid before the
United States, China can not only address their domestic energy
challenges but also get a head start on technology standardization. And
they see standardization as a critical step toward moving up the value
chain and playing a stronger role in global technology markets.

China's electricity market is divided geographically. China's State Grid
Corporation controls 88 percent of the country and serves more than 1
billion customers, and State Grid wants to leverage that position to
become a global smart grid standard setter. Smart grid networks involve
hundreds of new technologies, from wireless sensors and smart meters to
high-voltage transmission technologies, electrical vehicle charging
stations, and many others. State Grid is aiming to dominate many of
those industries, not only in China but also abroad.

In June 2010 State Grid issued its own proprietary equipment standards
for 22 different critical smart grid technology solutions. Equipment
manufacturers must abide by those proprietary standards to become State
Grid vendors, and since State Grid is the biggest smart grid customer in
the world, equipment manufacturers have a strong incentive to comply.

In most markets, equipment based on proprietary standards such as the
ones State Grid would like to see developed for its forthcoming smart
grid do not have good economies of scale because their equipment is
expensive to produce and less competitive compared to equipment based on
global standards. State Grid is betting that the Chinese market is big
enough (and they themselves control so much of it, including both
transmission and distribution) that they can use their massive
purchasing power to achieve economy of scale and drive down
manufacturing prices on their own.

Then, once Chinese manufacturers (many of which are State Grid
subsidiaries) are churning out competitively priced smart grid products,
they can export those same products to overseas markets such as the
United States—and if those products are based on State Grid proprietary
standards and intellectual property, the company will profit from every
unit sold.

It is not yet clear how strongly China's national leaders support State
Grid's one-grid-to-rule-them-all technology ambitions. Some in China are
calling for a new round of restructuring to make the market more
competitive and to reduce State Grid's massive purchasing (and therefore
standard-setting) power. China's National Development and Reform
Commission recently called for a new round of trials to experiment with
splitting up electricity transmission and distribution. If they proceed
with those reforms, that will take a big chunk of the market away from
State Grid.

No matter how they divide the market at home, however, Chinese leaders
have already elevated smart grid development to a strategic national
priority. Smart grid technologies are also considered a "strategic
emerging industry." Overall, that means that whoever drives the market,
whether it is State Grid acting alone or a more diversified group of
Chinese enterprises, Chinese leaders will provide strong policy support,
and China's massive domestic demand will ensure that the country becomes
a major player in global technology markets.

[continued at:
http://www.earthtechling.com/2011/10/china-pours-money-into-smart-grid-technology/2/]
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Tuesday, October 25, 2011

Green energy developers flock to Kenya

http://www.businessghana.com/portal/news/index.php?op=getNews&news_cat_id=&id=154720


International Investors In Kenya Energy Sector

News Date: 22nd October 2011


International investors are flocking into Kenya's liberalized energy
sector to engage in the generation of electricity from wind and
geothermal-powered turbines to earn carbon credits.

Kenya's electric power generation, largely dominated by water- powered
turbines, is gradually seeking to shift the more dependable geothermal
and wind powered plants due to the effects of climate change, which
has sparked off ecological damage.


The country's seven folks scheme, a combination of dams drawing its
waters from forests and deep dams has witnessed the dwindling of water
supplies due to the cutting down of trees and poor rainfall, sparked
by unpredictable weather patterns.

East Africa's worst drought in decades left most hydropower dams drier
and with less water to support peak generation and the Arab Springs
sent oil prices skyrocketing.

The World Bank and local Kenyan financial institutions are emerging as
key financiers of the "green energy" drive in Kenya. The focus has
been on the expansion of geothermal power and the construction of wind-
powered plants.

Kenyan Prime Minister Raila Odinga said this month the country is
short of the required finances to increase supply of electricity, a
key ingredient for reaching the UN Millennium Development Goals and
providing electricity to some 10 million rural folks.

Addressing a recent energy conference in Europe, Odinga said rural
electrification had improved lifestyles, allowing more people to own
and use mobile phones.

The electricity expansion also enabled local clinics and medical
facilities in rural areas to preserve vaccines. Pre-term babies are
also being given a lease of life.

Currently, the World Bank is supporting a geothermal power project
that is providing clean energy in Kenya to help the country facing
ongoing energy shortages.

Through its private insurance wing, the MIGA, the Multilateral
Investment Guarantee Agency, the Bank offered insurance cover to
Orpower 4 Inc, power plant in Olkaria in Naivasha, 100 km outside
capital, Nairobi.

"The insurance cover is for risks such as transfer restriction,
expropriation, war and civil disturbance, cover additional equity
investment of 110 million U.S dollars," the Bank announced recently.

The power plant is the first private geothermal power plant in sub-
Saharan Africa. Phase III of the project is set for completion in
2013. It would inject 84 megawatts of power, 7.6 percent of the
nation's current generation.

"The country is heavily reliant on hydropower which is seriously
constrained during droughts. As a result, Kenya imports fossil fuels
to fill the growing demand for electricity," the World Bank said in a
recent statement.

An increase in indigenous geothermal generation will guarantee a more
reliable supply of energy while reducing Carbon Dioxide emissions.

The existing plant has been registered as a Clean Development
Mechanism (CMD), recognized by the UN Framework Convention on Climate
Change (UNFCC).

The project is expected to produce carbon reduction of 180,000 tons
per year.

Odinga said with only 200 megawatts of geothermal capacity so far
exploited against the peak of 7,000 megawatts, there was room for
foreign investors to help tap the massive potential. Kenya, requires
investments of 18 billion dollars into energy sector to tap at least
5,000 megawatts of geothermal power.

Kenyan firms are amongst a chosen few in the carbon trade under the UN-
monitored CMD, yet the state environmental policy has lagged behind in
supporting the trade.

In 2009, the ministry of environment announced plans to develop
strategies that would allow local firms to trade carbon credits. Under
CMD, registered projects can sell credit and earn millions of dollars.

Foreign investors, backed by local banks, have been planning the
construction of some of Africa's largest wind-powered plants.

Dutch companies are behind a 300 MW wind farm on Lake Turkana, funded
by the African Development Bank (AfDB).

The Turkana project is estimated to cost 870 million dollars, and to
produce 30 percent of Kenya's electricity. It is also expected to
launch operations in 2012.

The first in a series of wind firms under construction is expected to
begin operations in April 2012. The wind-powered plant located in
Kinangop, is expected to generate about 60 MW.

A Danish firm, Vestas, has also put up a wind-powered turbine at the
Ngong Hills, on the outskirts of Nairobi to tap 51 MW of power.

Other projects include the Olkaria geothermal project expansion, to
generate 52 MW, the Ngong Hills project is expected to inject 100 MW
while the Oleleshwa wind Energy Limited in Kinangop, will inject 60 MW.

Kenyan government is offering guarantees to the projects to enable
them receive bank loans. The Kinangop plant has received 600 million
dollars in loans guarantees.

Demand for geothermal power is growing at 4.5 percent each year while
the state generating firm, KENGEN, plans to open a gas powered plant.

"We will be the largest and first large-scale wind power project in
Africa," the Managing director of the Kinangop power project. "Mostly,
the project is funded locally and around 26 MW would be produced
initially."

Source: GNA
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Monday, October 24, 2011

Gov'ts Fail to Invest in Hungriest, Poorest Regions

http://www.ips.org/africa/2011/10/africa-govts-fail-to-invest-in-hungriest-poorest-regions/

AFRICA: Gov'ts Fail to Invest in Hungriest, Poorest Regions

By Stephen Leahy

CHANGWON, South Korea, Oct 21 (IPS) � For millennia, people have coped
with drought in the Horn of Africa, comprised mainly of drylands. Yet
today, more than 13 million people there are starving because of
political instability, poor government policies and failure to invest
in the world's poorest people, say experts here in Changwon.

2.5 billion dollars in humanitarian aid is needed to cope with a
devastating hunger crisis in parts of Djibouti, Ethiopia, Kenya and
Somalia.
Two billion people, half of whom are extremely impoverished, live in
drylands around the world, according to Anne Juepner of the Drylands
Development Centre at the UN Development Programme (UNDP) in Nairobi.

"Drylands are not wastelands, as is often thought. More than half of
the world's cattle, sheep, goats and most of its grains are grown in
drylands," Juepner told IPS in an interview outside of the United
Nations Convention to Combat Desertification 10th Conference of the
Parties (COP 10) in Changwon.

Juepner is here to launch UNDP's "The Forgotten Billion", a report to
call attention to the fact that despite its productivity, drylands
that comprise one third of the world's land mass are also home to
world's poorest and most at-risk people.

Drylands include the Great Plains of North America, the Pampas in
Argentina and the wheat regions of the Ukraine and Kazakhstan. Major
cities like Los Angeles, Mexico City, Delhi, Cairo and Beijing are
situated in drylands.

Although much of North America is drylands and suffers from land
degradation, it is the rural drylands in developing countries where
the poorest people are found. They are often neglected or ignored by
their own countries and by development organisations, said Juepner.

Many have survived for thousands of years in very dry conditions, but
they live on the edge of survival. If governments impose borders or
create protected or settlement areas to restrict the movement of
pastoralists and their animals, a drought can tip them into crisis.

Governments often invest very little in infrastructure like roads and
schools in these poor regions. Similarly, development agencies and
other donors don't think these are the best places to make
investments, according to Juepner.

Successive droughts have plagued much of Kenya, leaving some with
literally nothing and making recovery nearly impossible without
assistance. "Small targeted investments in affected communities can
help them recover," she said.

A small UNDP project helps the Turkana people in northwest Kenya turn
aloe vera plants into hand soap that is in high demand at local
markets. According to Juepner, these types of low-cost investments,
not annual humanitarian responses, are effective in preventing crises.

Some of that massive sum of 2.5 billion dollars for disaster response
for the Horn of Africa needs to be allocated to those kinds of
investment to increase the resilience and ability of local communities
to adapt, Juepner said.

Pastoralism is often thought of as a lifestyle that is either
backwards or highly risky, and nomads, otherwise known as
pastoralists, are often blamed for degrading land. But in fact,
research now shows that drylands are adapted to livestock and animal
movement and suffer when they are removed.

"Degraded lands recover much faster with right number of livestock
than when animals are fenced out," Juepner said.

Mobile pastoralism is part of the solution to the crisis, said Pablo
Manzano, global coordinator of the World Initiative for Sustainable
Pastoralism. Being mobile is the best way to adapt to shifting
rainfall patterns, as pastoralists have been for thousands of years,
emulating the migrations of wild animals.

Mobility is also critical for adapting to a changing climate, he said.

Irrigated crop farming is expensive and not a panacea for food
security problems in drylands, as irrigation schemes exhaust water
resources and lead to conflicts with pastorialists, Manzano told IPS
in Changwon.

Land tenure is key to ensuring pastoralists can control and manage
lands properly. Political boundaries also impose arbitrary barriers.
"In the Horn of Africa, not a single border runs along cultural or
ecological lines," he said.

Long-term strategies, which have been key during other food crises,
should be based on allowing people to move with their livestock across
manmade boundaries.

Famines are more related to political turmoil, and in fact, the
current crisis in the Horn of Africa was predicted a year ago, Manzano
said. He added that political instability and war in Somalia are the
main reasons why four million Somalis are in desperate straits.

"This crisis (in Horn of Africa) has been going on for 20 years, so we
must change the way we work," said David Morley, president and CEO of
the United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF) Canada.

Preventing drought-related famine requires investing in the
development of small business to provide extra income for
pastorialists, Morley said in a release. They also need flexible
schooling, decentralized health services and local management of water
points.

"The key is to listen to and learn from the community."

(END/2011)
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Ethiopia's Hydroelectric Program - Boon or Folly?

http://oilprice.com/Alternative-Energy/Hydroelectric-Energy/Ethiopia-s-Hydroelectric-Program-Boon-or-Folly.html

Ethiopia's Hydroelectric Program - Boon or Folly?

Written by John Daly
Monday, 24 October 2011 12:48

Developing countries worldwide view the construction of power
facilities as integral to their economic development to lift their
populations out of poverty. Ethiopia has now embarked on massive
hydroelectric schemes currently involving the construction of two
large dams, but the Ethiopian government�s obdurate refusal to
consider the potential environmental and political impacts of its
efforts to become the �energy hub� of East Africa have generated
rising concerns not only in Ethiopia but neighboring nations depending
on the country�s water flows.

Two projects have elicited local, regional and international concerns.
The first is the 1,870 megawatt $2.2 billion Gilgel Gibe III dam on
the Omo River, which threatens the unique ecology of Lake Turkana on
the Kenyan-Ethiopian border, a UNESCO World Heritage Site.

The second is the projected 5,000 megawatt $5 billion Grand Ethiopian
Renaissance Dam, formerly known as the Millennium Dam, on the Blue
Nile, which the Ethiopian government is pressing forward despite
rising concern in downstream states Sudan and Egypt about the
potential impact of the facilities on the lower Nile�s water flows.

In its rush to construction, in 2009 Addis Ababa issued an
environmental impact assessment (EIA) statement for Gilgel Gibe III on
the long-term consequences of the dams� construction, but only two
years after construction began. The resultant report was regarded as
so flawed that the World Bank, European Investment Bank, and the
African Development Bank abandoned the project.

Ethiopia more recently has not even bothered to issue an EIA
evaluation report for the proposed Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam,
despite the fact that such evaluations are critical for assessing the
potential impact of the hydroelectric cascades and remain an essential
element in securing international funding.

Italy�s Salini Costruttori was awarded no-bid contracts to build both
the Gilgel Gibe III and the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam and a
Chinese state-owned bank has approved funding for Gilgel Gibe III
despite the project being dogged by controversy from the outset. A
2009 independent feasibility study submitted to the African
Development Bank questioned the structural stability of the dam,
saying that the risk of a catastrophic failure was "not insignificant."

Last July the UN�s World Heritage Committee said that the Gilgel Gibe
III dam, Ethiopia�s largest investment project, would endanger the
existence of Lake Turkana, which receives up to 90 percent of its
water from the Omo River, by lowering its water level by up to sixty
feet, affecting more than 300,000 people downstream from the facility
as well as increasing salinity and wreaking havoc on the lake�s unique
flora and fauna. In 1997 the Omo River basin and Lake Turkana received
UNESCO World Heritage Site listings. The UN�s Committee on the
Elimination of Racial Discrimination has also urged Ethiopia to
suspend the project, fearing its impact on local communities. Experts
fear that the the Gilgel Gibe III dam could suffer 50-75 percent
leakage of waters from its reservoir due to multiple fractures in the
basalt rock at the planned reservoir site and note that the area is
also seismically active. Nevertheless, the project is moving forward.

Ethiopian Prime Minister Meles Zenawi is brazening out public
criticism, promising to complete Gilgel Gibe III the facility "at any
cost," complaining that his critics "don�t want to see developed
Africa; they want us to remain undeveloped and backward to serve their
tourists as a museum." Upping the ante, three months ago Ethiopia
announced that it would build four additional dams on the Blue Nile
that will work in conjunction with the Gilgel Gibe III and Grand
Ethiopian Renaissance Dam to generate more than 15,000 megawatts of
electricity and last month Ethiopia�s Ministry of Water and Energy
announced that Gilgel Gibe III facility is now 46 percent complete.

If Gilgel Gibe III threatens the Omo River and Lake Turkana and
Ethiopian and Kenyan water flows, it is the $5 billion Grand Ethiopian
Renaissance Dam, whose cornerstone was laid last March, that could
unsettle Ethiopia�s relations with its downstream neighbors down to
the Mediterranean, Egypt most of all.

Egypt relies on the Nile for most of its water supply and Ethiopia�s
Lake Tana is the source of the Blue Nile, which contributes 86 percent
of the water arriving at Egypt�s Aswan High Dam. The White Nile�s main
source is Lake Victoria, whose shoreline is shared by Uganda, Tanzania
and Kenya and which joins the Blue Nile south of Khartoum.

Nile water access issues are rooted in history, as 82 years ago
Britain as East Africa�s dominant colonial power effectively handed
Egypt the lion�s share of Nilotic waters in a 1929 accord. Under terms
of the agreement Egypt had and currently maintains its historic right
to three-quarters of the Nile�s water, 55.5 billion cubic meters that
it annually diverts of the Nile�s total flow of roughly 84 billion
cubic meters. Under the 1929 agreement Sudan, before South Sudan
became independent in July, was apportioned a further 11 percent of
the Nile�s waters, leaving the other littoral states to share the
remainder. Under terms of the accord Egypt has persistently vetoed
neighboring countries' rights to build dams or irrigation projects
upstream which might affect the river's flow.

In 1959, when Egypt and Sudan were independent but all Nile upstream
states except Ethiopia were still colonies, Egypt and Sudan signed a
bilateral convention that essentially reaffirmed the 1929 accord and
left only 10 percent of the Nile's water to the seven upstream
countries, arguing that upstream nations had significant rainfall,
unlike Egypt or Sudan. Instability, poor governance, lack of finances
and the availability of other water sources left the issue largely
dormant until the 1990s, when Nilotic governments seriously started to
consider using their Nile Basin waters to generate energy and irrigate
crops.

In the 1999 Nile Basin Initiative (NBI) emerged as a basin-wide
program between Egypt, Sudan, Ethiopia, Uganda, Kenya, Tanzania,
Burundi, Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of Congo to modify the
terms of the 1929 agreement, but it has thus far failed to achieve any
significant progress.

Given the lack of NBI progress, on 14 May 2010 Ethiopia, Tanzania,
Uganda, and Rwanda signed a new water-sharing proposal, the "River
Nile Basin Cooperative Framework," also known as the Entebbe
Agreement, which both Egypt and Sudan rejected. Until recently Cairo
continued to demand a veto power over any projects implemented
upstream in southern Nile nations and pushed international donors such
as the World Bank, NBI�s main fiscal backer, to cut funding to the
renegade Entebbe Agreement signatories.

As an indication of how seriously the Egyptian government took the
Entebbe Agreement, the same month that it was signed responsibility
for the Nile basin dispute was removed from Egypt�s Water and Foreign
Affairs Ministries and given to Egypt's intelligence and security
chief Omar Suleiman, who in February handed over power to the military
after Mubarak resigned. Scrambling to utilize its Nilotic waters more
efficiently, Egypt has succeeded over the last several decades in
increasing its arable land by 25 percent only through extensive and
expensive canal systems and increasing use of expensive imported
fertilizers, which any diminution of flow would threaten.

As for Egyptian concerns about the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam
diverting downstream flows, they are well aware of such issues, as it
took 12 years beginning in 1964 to fill the Aswan High Dam�s Lake
Nasser reservoir with 11 cubic kilometers of waters, which now drive
12 turbines generating 2,100 megawatts, less than half the power
output of the proposed Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam.

Far from addressing Egyptian environmental concerns, the Ethiopian
government has not even bothered to issue an EIA for the Grand
Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, which some hydrological specialists predict
that in filling its reservoir will cause a 25 percent annual reduction
in river flow to Egypt, as the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam
reservoir�s volume would be about equivalent to the annual flow of the
Nile at the Sudanese-Egyptian border, roughly 65.5 billion cubic meters.

The �Arab Spring� that overthrew the regime of Egyptian President
Hosni Mubarak in February has resulted in Egypt�s interim government
showing new signs of flexibility on Nile water issues. Last month
Egyptian Interim Prime Minister Essam Sharaf met with Zenawi in Cairo
and agreed to set up a technical team to study the impact of the Grand
Ethiopian Renaissance Dam while Zernawi, on an obvious charm offensive
to secure international financial backing, agreed to host Egyptian and
Sudanese officials to prove that the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam
will not be used to irrigate any of the large corporate farms the
Ethiopian government has leased to foreign investors in recent years,
but instead be used solely to generate electricity, adding that his
government will delay ratifying the 2010 Entebbe Agreement. Several
months ago Ethiopia said it would be forced to finance the Grand
Ethiopian Renaissance Dam itself and from the sale of government bonds
because Egypt was pressuring donor countries and international lenders
not to fund its dam projects.

And both structures are largely about electricity exports. If
completed, Gilgel Gibe III alone will double Ethiopia�s hydroelectric
total installed capacity from its 2007 level of 814 megawatts. In
April Zenawi announced that Ethiopia plans to produce as much as 8,000
megawatts of additional electricity from hydropower sources by 2016 as
various projects come online.

While Ethiopia reportedly has "initial agreements" to export
electricity to Sudan, Dijibouti, and Kenya, critics of the
hydroelectric projects emphasize that the majority of Africans are not
connected to the power grid, and that Ethiopia will be generating far
more electricity than it or its neighbors can currently utilize.

The projected future environmental water stresses of the Nile basin�s
population make for grim reading. Washington DC�s Population
Reference Bureau has developed some unsettling statistics for
countries along the Nile, estimating that Egypt's population of 80
million is expected to reach 122 million by 2050. During the same
period Ethiopia�s 83 million population will soar to 150 million and
in Uganda, with one of the highest birthrates in the world, the
population is expected to more than triple from its current level of
32 million to 97 million.

While East Africa�s efforts to improve their standards of living with
increased electricity resources, it is questionable whether a massive
commitment to hydroelectric power is the only option. The surging
demographics of the region combined with the potential environmental
impacts of massive hydroelectric projects along the world�s longest
river, combined with Ethiopia�s refusal to provide EIAs should give
all international investors pause before underwriting such massive
undertakings. The waters of the Nile are finite and will soon support
a population greater than the United States, and water diversions for
such projects can only increase national and regional tensions.

It is good that Egypt is now willing to talk, but even more important
that Ethiopia be willing to listen. If the international community
wishes to support Ethiopia�s efforts to become East Africa�s energy
�hub,� then it should request transparency about the environmental
consequences of such extravagant hydrological projects and their
impact not only in Ethiopia but their neighbors along the shared river
basins which geography has bequeathed them.

By. John C.K. Daly of Oilprice.com
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