from hydro, not 60% as author states; that electricity is
"endangered" because of glaciers melting from climate change (see for
example http://www.circleofblue.org/waternews/2009/world/melting-glaciers-changing-europe%E2%80%99s-energy-outlook/)
http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2010/1009/ec1.htm
Towards a renewable Egypt
Nader Noureddin* examines Egypt's renewable energy potentials and  
options
Clean and renewable energy technologies are an answer to environmental  
pollution, energy security requirements, and negative health impacts  
of current energy sources. Clean and renewable energies include  
hydropower, wind, solar power and biomass, which include  biofuels and  
agrofuels. Hydropower is the largest source of renewable electricity  
in Europe, supplying 60 per cent of Europe's total renewable energy  
compared with only 10 per cent in Egypt. Wind power has been the  
fastest growing European and global renewable energy.
One of the major reasons for the growth in wind power use is that it  
is currently the lowest cost renewable energy source. Onshore wind  
power, at prime locations, can cost as little as 0.065 Euro per  
kilowatt-hour (kwh) whilst the lowest offshore costs are 0.09 Euros  
per kwh. Biomass simply means biological material. So energy from  
biomass means obtaining heat, light or power from biological sources  
such as food crops, timber, straw, vegetable oil, animal manure or  
energy crops. The use of biomass to produce energy is the oldest  
renewable energy; firewood has been used for cooking and heating for  
millennia, and its use still supplies much energy around the world.
Biomass can be processed into liquids for use in combustion, and these  
liquids are often referred to as biofuel. At the moment, the main  
sources of biomass for liquid fuel production are food crops. Oil  
crops such as soybean, oilseed rape, oil palm and sunflower are used  
to produce bio-diesel, which can be used as a replacement for diesel.  
Crops such as sugar cane, sugar beet, maize, wheat and barley are used  
to make ethanol, which can be used as a replacement for gasoline.  
Ethanol production in 2009 represented about six per cent of the 1300  
billion litres of gasoline consumed globally.
Recently the term "agro-fuels" has come into use to describe bio-fuels  
produced from large-scale, intensive or industrial production.  
Cellulosic ethanol, which is produced from plant residues, is slated  
to replace more than five per cent of US gasoline consumption by 2030  
according to the US Department of Energy.
Photovoltaic solar and concentrating solar power is the most promising  
electricity source by 2050. The electricity supply system of North  
Africa and Europe in 2050 will be 100 per cent renewable, following a  
continuous and steady transformation of the power system in parallel  
with sustained growth demand. The grids of North Africa and Europe are  
strongly interconnected. This has been achieved through the  
reinforcement of the high voltage alternating current grid, a pan- 
European cross Mediterranean overlay of high voltage direct current.
Biofuel sales, global production and wholesale pricing of ethanol and  
biodiesel, reached $44.9 billion in 2009 and are projected to grow to  
$112.5 billion by 2019. In 2009, the bio-fuels market consisted of  
more than 23.6 billion gallons of ethanol and bio-diesel production   
worldwide ( Clean Energy Trends 2010 ).
Wind power's new installation capital costs are projected to expand  
from $63.5 billion in 2009 to $114.5 billion in 2019. Last year,  
global wind power installations reached a record 37,500 Mega Watt (MW).
China, the global leader in new wind installations, accounted for more  
than a third of new installations, or 13,000 MW. Solar power will grow  
from a $30.7 billion industry in 2009 to $98.9 billion by 2019. The  
total of clean energy (bio-fuel, wind and solar) reached $124.8  
billion in 2008, grew 11 per cent to $139.1 billion in 2009, and is  
projected to grow to $325.9 billion in 2019.
Egypt could produce electricity from solar power collected from the  
western and eastern deserts, which is considered one of the five  
highest solar areas in the world, and at the same time desalinise  
Mediterranean and Red Sea water to get an appreciable amount of fresh  
water for sustainable development.
Renewable energy is the only choice for the future of energy in Egypt  
and the world.
* The writer is professor of soil and water sciences at the Faculty of  
Agriculture, Cairo University.
	 � Copyright Al-Ahram Weekly. All rights reserved
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